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Financial Suicide

A couple years back we started following the stock IPIX.  It was a time when any stock that remotely had anything to do with security was in play.  IPIX sells security cameras but its main business is in virtual realtor tours on the internet.  Nevertheless after we started following the stock in the $4.00 range it soared along with every stock in the so called security sector.  The mania was so insane even a company whose main business was operating car washes ran up because they sold mace from a vending machine at these car washes.  It was ridiculous but the stocks were moving higher at an amazing rate so as momentum traders looking for the quick gains we were following them. 

IPIX proceeded to run up to the $28.00 range and those that played that momentum were rewarded handsomely.  This is the way you have to play the momentum stocks.  You ride them higher with the frenzy and get out when the hype is over.  These types of stocks are junk and were way overvalued during that runup.  We knew this but all we were doing was playing these stocks for the quick profits and enjoying the temporary runup in a hot sector. 

We show the chart tonight as a lesson why nobody should ever consider buying and holding without keeping an eye on the chart.  A former member of STHQ chased this stock and bought it at $16.00.  He had a nice profit when the stock went up but he failed to lock that in and watched the stock tumble below his buy point.  He elected to hold instead of stopping out.  In the proceeding months he watch it drop back to below $4.00 and as it dropped kept adding to his position making his position well above the 5% position size we were recommending at that time.  We never recommend adding to a losing position so of course he did this on his own. 

A Lesson Learned
This disgruntled member canceled his subscription when the stock was below $4.00 blaming us for his loss and stating that most of his portfolio was now in this stock.  Of course if he had followed our recommendations and trading disciplines he would not have lost money.  Over two years later he still cannot let go.  We just received a sarcastic email from him last week.  Still bitter and blaming STHQ for his loss he asks What about that IPIX pick now you %$

Obviously he did not follow the disciplines we teach and has nobody to blame but himself.  With the stock trading at .50 now and back where it belongs he is out of the game for life or a very long time. This is what buying and holding can do to a portfolio and adding to losing positions as stocks fall can be financial suicide.  Why add to a stock that is falling Unless you know it is the bottom there is no reason to add.  Guessing at bottoms only lead to more losses. 

Just to add another example.  I have a cousin who had $80000 in his IRA in 1999.  Last week I spoke to him on the phone I called him to see how his mother was doing she has been very ill lately.  The subject of the stock market came up.  I was sorry to hear that seven years later his IRA is worth $7800. He said it has been hovering between $7000 and $10000 since 2002.  He never sold and has not added any money to it since 2001.  He told me he will never add any money to it ever.  He's done with the stock market for life.  There are plenty of other horror stories out there like these two examples.   

Why bring this up tonight Because every commentary we do has a goal.  The goal is for our members to take something away from it and hopefully learn some valuable lessons from them.  The bottom line in this lesson is that we do not want the above examples or anything like them to happen to any other members of STHQ. 

We are bringing these cases to your attention in the hopes that everyone who follows our recommendations will also follow the strict discipline trading rules we strongly recommend.  We did not tell the IPIX trader to buy the stock 300% above our recommended buy point.  We did not tell him to hold onto the stock without a stop loss to protect his profit and limit loss.  We did not tell him to put more than 5% of his portfolio into the trade and we did not tell him to keep buying more as the stock dropped.  He committed the four cardinal sins of trading.  These sins if committed will almost always result in financial suicide.  Our advice; stay disciplined or pay the ultimate financial price.

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