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Monday, April 12, 2004

Market Recap
It was a nice day for the markets with the Dow gaining 73 points and the NASDAQ up 12 points. Volume was again low as it has been most trading days in the last few weeks but both the NASDAQ and Russell small cap charts are in great shape. They are both poised to move higher. 

Small Caps Move Big
Speaking of small caps moving higher, it is just plain nuts the way some of these small caps have been going up lately. I said small caps would lead the way, and we are finding out right now what stocks will be the next market leaders. Many of these stocks have doubled and tripled in the last week or so. Stocks like TBUS, MRKL, IPIX, MACE, ALAN, and MIKR have all gone parabolic in the last few days, and who knows when it will end? 

Momentum Players Control the Market
Check out MSGI going from 4.00 to 14.80 today alone. It seems like anything with the word security in the company name is going ballistic. The momentum players are currently controlling this market. We have to be on the watch for stocks breaking out in a big way because there is no stopping them. Just when you think they can not go any higher, they keep running up. Momentum trading is where the monster gains come from but at the same time it is very risky if you can not be by your screens watching your stock. Momentum stocks can get hit very hard when the selling starts.

Running with the Bulls
Has anyone ever watched the running of the bulls? It is an event each year in Pamplona, Spain. It is a very exciting tradition, but people often get hurt while participating in the festivities. Usually the people who get hurt were out there for their first time and really had not studied things enough to be risking themselves.

We have been running with the bulls recently as well. We have seen action in the momentum stocks lately with IPIX and ALAN. Today we joined the WLSF bull run. We have sold these 3 stocks for very good gains, but we could have made a lot more on IPIX and ALAN had we let them run. Locking in a profit is a tough call; you never know whether you are doing the right thing or not. Take ALTI and ARTX as an example. We probably should have locked in gains on those as well because they drifted back down. In the case of ALTI, we lost a 20% profit today by not selling. 

The markets have really started to turn around, and our portfolio is doing great! I am concerned because we have so many new members that I want to make sure that none of us get trampled while trying to run with these bulls. Please make sure you read the “How to Use the Bulletin” section. (There is a link at the very bottom of the Bulletin.)

Before you run with the bulls, you need to understand a bit of how they might react. We study the chart patterns. That is how we know that a bull is going to run, and we can climb on board for a very nice ride. We might occasionally get tossed around a bit when the bulls are running wild (shake outs) and we are always cautious about getting trampled. 

Those of you who have been with us for a long time know that we will occasionally get into a stock that does not perform as expected. It does happen, and it will happen again.  This is simply a word of caution to our newest members. Every stock we buy does not run like mad. Sometimes the bull will turn on us and stop losses can prevent you from being completely trampled by a bull that suddenly and unexpectedly turns on us. So be cautious out there, I normally will not chase stocks but when you are playing the momentum game you have to sometimes chase or you will miss the ride. Chasing is risky but as you can see by the above mentioned stocks, it can be very rewarding if you are right

OTC BB Update
- MOBL (Up 100% since mentioned at.10)
- BKYI (listed last night at 2.25 and today reached 3.00)
- BLLD (up 20% today, listed here last night)
- PHSL (from last night's list, up 30% at one point today)

OTC BB WatchList

As always, thank-you for your support past, present and future! Have a great night everyone; we will see you all tomorrow evening. 

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